Spezia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
SIR
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIA
0 - 1
SPE
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FRO
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 2
SPE
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 2
SPE
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PIA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 3
USC
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USC
1 - 0
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
USC
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
USC
19%
28%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -2 |