Spezia vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SPE
2 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
USR
3 - 1
SPE
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 1
LAV
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
DER
0 - 2
SPE
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 0
SCC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
SAV
3 - 1
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SAV
4 - 0
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAV
1 - 0
USR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LAV
0 - 1
SAV
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SCC
1 - 0
SAV
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |