Spezia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 2
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 2
SPE
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 1
SPE
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 2
VER
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 3
FIO
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 3
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 1
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
FIO
6 - 0
GEN
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 5
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |