Spezia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
SPE
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
EMP
2 - 0
SPE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIE
27%
26%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CES
0 - 2
SPE
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CTT
5 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 2
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |