Spezia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
USC
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAM
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SPE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 1
SPA
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 0
NUO
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 0
CRO
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
EMP
0 - 3
CTT
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |