Spezia U16 vs Genoa U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
7º
6º
37
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
SPZ
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPZ
2 - 1
JUV
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CRM
3 - 4
SPZ
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPZ
4 - 1
TOR
7%
13%
81%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
SPZ
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
TOR
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CGL
1 - 3
GEN
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 0
CMO
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
GEN
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |