Sasso Marconi vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
ASD
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
ASD
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
ASD
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
SER
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
ASD
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
USR
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
GHI
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRO
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
COR
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |