Sancataldese vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 0
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
9%
21%
70%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 1
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |