ASD Sambiase vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 2
NUV
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NIS
2 - 0
ASD
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 0
CIT
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
ASD
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 3
NIS
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NOT
4 - 0
NUV
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 2
NOT
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |