ASD Sambiase vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
5 - 0
ASD
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASD
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
ASD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
VAL
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MES
4 - 1
ACR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NIS
0 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MES
4 - 0
CIT
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
ACS
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |