ASD Sambiase vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 2
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASD
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
20%
67%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TUR
6 - 0
HYR
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 4
NOT
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
HYR
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 4
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | -1 |