ASD Sambiase vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
ASD
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
5 - 1
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ASD
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
ASD
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 1
FCS
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
GEL
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 1
COM
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |