ASD Sambiase vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
ASD
17%
25%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
RAG
48%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NUO
3 - 2
ASD
81%
14%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 3
MES
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 1
ASD
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 2
GEL
22%
26%
52%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
USV
5 - 0
ACI
75%
18%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 3
ACP
17%
24%
59%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
ACI
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
1 - 4
COM
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |