Serie D Group A Round 21

NovaRomentin vs Vado FC analysis

NovaRomentin Vado FC
49 ELO 53
-16.4% Tilt -4.2%
4190º General ELO ranking 4240º
144º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
38.6%
NovaRomentin
29.8%
Draw
31.6%
Vado FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
NovaRomentin
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.6%
Win probability
Vado FC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
NovaRomentin
+48%
-11%
Vado FC

Points and table prediction

NovaRomentin
Their league position
Vado FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
18º
65
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AS Bra
78
82
100%
NovaRomentin
71
75
99%
Gozzano
65
69
29.5%
Vado FC
65
69
26%
Lavagnese
64
68
28.5%
Città di Varese
62
66
59%
Ligorna
58
62
89.5%
Chisola Calcio
50
54
48%
Saluzzo
50
54
45.5%
ASD Asti
11º
45
49
10º
33%
Sanremese
10º
45
49
11º
30%
Derthona
12º
44
48
12º
36.5%
Oltrepo FBC
13º
40
43
13º
47%
Imperia
14º
38
41
14º
30%
Voghera
15º
37
41
15º
32.5%
US Cairese
16º
37
40
16º
37%
Albenga
20º
0
35
17º
17.5%
Chieri
17º
31
34
18º
42%
Borgaro Nobis
18º
28
31
19º
45%
Fossano Calcio
19º
26
29
20º
61%
Expected probabilities
NovaRomentin
Vado FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 95.5%
Mid-table
0% 4.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

NovaRomentin
Vado FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

NovaRomentin
NovaRomentin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
DER
Derthona
1 - 6
NovaRomentin
SNR
19%
24%
57%
50 38 12 0
22 Dec. 2024
AST
ASD Asti
0 - 3
NovaRomentin
SNR
32%
27%
41%
48 45 3 +2
15 Dec. 2024
SNR
NovaRomentin
0 - 0
Saluzzo
ACS
59%
24%
18%
48 37 11 0
08 Dec. 2024
FOS
Fossano Calcio
0 - 4
NovaRomentin
SNR
25%
25%
50%
48 26 22 0
01 Dec. 2024
SNR
NovaRomentin
0 - 0
Sanremese
SAN
45%
26%
29%
48 46 2 0

Matches

Vado FC
Vado FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
VFC
Vado FC
1 - 1
Chisola Calcio
CCA
62%
21%
17%
53 48 5 0
21 Dec. 2024
VFC
Vado FC
1 - 0
Derthona
DER
76%
15%
9%
52 38 14 +1
14 Dec. 2024
LAV
Lavagnese
1 - 2
Vado FC
VFC
40%
27%
33%
51 47 4 +1
08 Dec. 2024
VFC
Vado FC
3 - 1
Oltrepo FBC
OLT
71%
17%
12%
51 29 22 0
01 Dec. 2024
VFC
Vado FC
3 - 1
ASD Asti
AST
67%
20%
14%
51 44 7 0