Ornans vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ornans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AND
3 - 2
ASO
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ASO
3 - 3
CLE
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FEU
4 - 0
ASO
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ASO
0 - 1
THI
37%
27%
37%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
COU
1 - 0
ASO
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
LPV
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GFO
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
GUE
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
JUR
4 - 2
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |