Città di Varese vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASD
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
2 - 2
ASD
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
SES
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 3
BOR
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 0
FOS
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FOS
2 - 3
CAS
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FOS
0 - 2
SAN
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
1 - 0
FOS
76%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |