Città di Varese vs ASD Asti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASD
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
CHI
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 2
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
GOZ
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASD
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Asti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
AST
1 - 1
LIG
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
AST
50%
22%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AST
1 - 1
PRO
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AST
3 - 2
CHI
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 1
AST
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |