ASD Castrumfavara vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
18º
15º
54
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 81 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
2% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 30 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 27 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Castrumfavara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
NIS
0 - 0
FAR
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAR
2 - 2
PAT
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
USV
4 - 0
FAR
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 0
LIC
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AKR
0 - 1
FAR
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ASD
0 - 1
SSS
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOC
1 - 1
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
NIS
2 - 1
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 1
POM
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |