Castelnuovo Vomano vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 3
CYN
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAT
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
UST
0 - 2
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
OLY
2 - 1
UST
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 2
UST
66%
20%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
MAT
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
UST
1 - 3
SFF
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |