Cartigliano vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CLO
1 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
SGS
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
38%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MES
0 - 2
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MES
3 - 2
SDA
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MES
0 - 3
MZN
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |