Ascona vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 0
ASC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
TAV
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 1
ASC
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 3
EMM
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 3
HOC
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 1
WIL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 2
GOL
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 2
WIL
63%
19%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |