Ascona vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
ASC
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
IBA
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
3 - 1
HOC
44%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TEA
2 - 2
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 0
ESC
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 2
TAV
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
TAV
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
TAV
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |