Ascona vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 1
ASC
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GOL
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
4 - 4
GUN
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EMM
0 - 3
ASC
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 5
HOC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TAV
4 - 0
EMM
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 1
TAV
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TAV
2 - 0
IBA
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 5
TAV
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TAV
1 - 0
ESC
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |