Ascona vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 5
BUO
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ZOF
3 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
KUS
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
ASC
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
RUS
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
ESC
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BUO
6 - 2
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
ZOF
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KUS
0 - 2
SAR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |