Ascona vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 4
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 1
ASC
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 3
GOL
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
25%
22%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SAR
21%
22%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUO
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |