Ascona vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
42
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZUG
5 - 1
ASC
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
CHA
36%
22%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 4
FCS
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
RSZ
5 - 3
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
RSZ
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSZ
9 - 0
FCS
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
RSZ
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RSZ
2 - 3
GOL
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |