Ascona vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BRU
3 - 1
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 2
HER
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
3 - 2
PER
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SAR
55%
20%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |