Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
FCC
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
EMM
3 - 2
ASC
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
4 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 2
LUZ
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCC
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FCS
4 - 1
IBA
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
IBA
3 - 2
NOV
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
4 - 1
IBA
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |