Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 0
ASC
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 0
MAL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUN
3 - 1
ASC
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 0
ESC
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
IBA
0 - 3
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ZOF
1 - 2
IBA
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
IBA
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 0
BUO
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
KUS
0 - 1
IBA
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |