Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ASC
7 - 3
FCA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
BUO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 0
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LUZ
0 - 0
IBA
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
GOL
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 2
GUN
53%
22%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
FCS
19%
23%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BUO
5 - 1
IBA
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |