Ascona vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 6
ASC
57%
20%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GCB
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUO
3 - 0
ASC
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 0
EMM
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HOC
6 - 0
ESC
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 0
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 3
GOL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
GUN
3 - 2
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |