Ascona vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ZOF
3 - 0
ASC
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
KUS
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
ASC
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
IBA
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 0
ASC
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BUO
6 - 2
SAR
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
BUO
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BUO
7 - 0
RUS
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BUO
4 - 2
ZOF
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 2
BUO
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |