Ascoli vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
ASS
4 - 2
ASC
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ASC
2 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ASC
2 - 2
CAG
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RIM
1 - 4
ASC
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
SAM
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 2
CES
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
SAM
44%
31%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 1
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |