Ascoli vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASC
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAT
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 0
VIR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
22%
28%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |