Ascoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
JUS
1 - 5
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FRO
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ASC
3 - 1
TRA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ASC
2 - 0
TRA
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 2
PRG
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
SPE
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 2
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
0 - 3
SPE
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 0
SPE
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |