Ascoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PES
1 - 1
ASC
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 3
PAD
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
VER
25%
26%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASC
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 0
USF
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -3 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 3
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |