Asco B vs Bot A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
ASC
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
5 - 1
ALD
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
TIV
0 - 2
ASC
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 1
RBI
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
XER
3 - 0
ASC
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Bot A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 3
VIL
24%
22%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
XER
0 - 3
BOT
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 2
ROQ
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JCA
2 - 0
BOT
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
GAL
35%
23%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |