ASA Luanda vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
1 - 0
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
PRI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SAG
0 - 1
ASA
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
ASA
4 - 0
CDH
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 1
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 1
PET
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ONZ
0 - 1
PRO
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 1
BLU
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
ADS
1 - 0
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 3
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |