ASA Aarhus vs Fuglebakken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AAB
6 - 2
ASA
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 1
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VRI
1 - 3
ASA
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
ASA
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASA
2 - 2
KJE
25%
20%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fuglebakken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FUG
1 - 4
ODD
8%
13%
80%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
FUG
1 - 0
AAB
23%
20%
56%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 1
FUG
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FUG
1 - 2
HOL
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KJE
2 - 0
FUG
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |