Varese vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
PES
2 - 0
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
26%
28%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CAT
4 - 0
LEO
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
AVE
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
TRA
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |