Varese vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
VAR
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOR
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAR
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
INV
0 - 3
CHI
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 0
INV
17%
18%
65%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
INV
9%
14%
76%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 2
INV
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |