Varese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
VAR
7%
19%
75%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
BUS
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 1
VAR
19%
26%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 2
GOZ
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GOZ
5 - 1
VOG
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
GOZ
44%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 1
VAR
19%
26%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
GOZ
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |