Varese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
VAR
4 - 0
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 2
SAM
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAR
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
GEN
2 - 0
RIM
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
ATL
1 - 2
GEN
42%
31%
27%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAT
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |