AS Sud-Est vs Valencia de Leogane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Sud-Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OUA
2 - 0
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASS
3 - 2
DON
40%
31%
30%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAP
28%
31%
42%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
RDC
2 - 0
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GON
2 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAP
25%
30%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ASM
0 - 0
VAL
59%
25%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
VAL
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 1
OUA
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
CSC
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |