ASPL 2000 vs Pamplemousses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
APL
0 - 1
CHE
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
APL
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
APL
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
APL
3 - 1
ENT
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
APL
3 - 1
PET
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pamplemousses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAM
5 - 3
SAV
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
PAM
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAM
2 - 0
CHE
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PAM
1 - 0
GRS
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ENT
1 - 0
PAM
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |