ASPL 2000 vs AS de Vacoas-Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPL 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
APL
2 - 0
CUR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 3
APL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
APL
0 - 1
SAV
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
APL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PET
2 - 1
APL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS de Vacoas-Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 1
PET
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
3 - 0
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
PSM
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 3
CER
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
APL
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |