As Pontes vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BOI
2 - 1
ASP
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 1
ORD
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NEG
3 - 3
ASP
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 4
PON
54%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 4
ASP
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SOM
5 - 0
LAR
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BER
1 - 4
SOM
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 1
ARO
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUL
0 - 4
SOM
20%
23%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
GRI
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |