As Pontes vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
ASP
66%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
7 - 0
PON
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
3 - 1
ASP
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
3 - 1
UPH
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASP
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
3 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UDO
0 - 2
OUR
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
2 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 2
OUR
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OUR
1 - 0
DEP
57%
25%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |