As Pontes vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ACF
2 - 1
ASP
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ASP
0 - 2
ALO
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CEL
3 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ARO
1 - 2
ASP
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ASP
3 - 2
ORD
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
LUG
2 - 1
ORD
93%
6%
2%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ATO
2 - 1
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
LUG
3 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
BET
1 - 2
LUG
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |