As Pontes vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
ASP
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
ASP
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 3
CER
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RCV
3 - 1
ASP
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 1
NOI
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
VER
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ORD
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
NEG
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SIL
1 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |